Guardians vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Guardians are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Guardians vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Guardians / White Sox TV Channel: BSGL | NSCH

The Cleveland Guardians (-250) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+190) on Monday, September 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Guardians are 81-62 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 58-86 ATS.

Guardians vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 0-3, 8.01 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians-2.5 +100O 8.5 +100-250
White Sox +2.5 -120U 8.5 -120+190

Guardians vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 64.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brayan Rocchio has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+30.50 Units / 436% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+22.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+20.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+14.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+14.30 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 28 games (+26.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+16.70 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+15.10 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 39 away games (+15.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 68 away games (+14.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 81 of their last 143 games (+9.47 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+7.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 47% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 71-72 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.17% ROI).

  • 81-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.47 Units / 5.2% ROI
  • 66-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -5.89% ROI
  • 68-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -2.9% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 58-86 against the Run Line (-34.35 Units / -20.3% ROI).

  • 33-111 when betting on the Moneyline for -60.3 Units / -41.26% ROI
  • 62-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.6 Units / -11.2% ROI
  • 72-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 2.83% ROI

White Sox vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

White Sox vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Corey Julks (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Will Brennan (CLE) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

White Sox vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Naylor (CLE) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Jose Ramirez (CLE) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Will Brennan (CLE) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

White Sox vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joey Cantillo (CLE) 4.5 +100 4.5 -130

No Matchup notes for this Game

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Nastrini has limited playing time.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Guardians are 62-2 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Guardians are 24-28 (.462) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Guardians are 68-2 (.971) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Guardians are just 4-54 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The White Sox are just 26-21 (.553) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The White Sox are just 55-150 (.268) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The White Sox are just 32-111 (.224) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 44-136 (.244) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.

The Guardians are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 25% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (11,183 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (8,580 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Guardians pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Guardians have allowed 0.87 runs per game (125/143) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 1% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The White Sox have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The White Sox have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

White Sox vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.