- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Yankees TV Channel: BSGL | YES
The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Guardians are 72-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 66-59 ATS.
Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 0-0, 1.69 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 12-6, 3.27 ERA
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -115 | +125 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -105 | -150 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 50 games (+46.50 Units / 93% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 24 games (+24.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+15.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.95 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.25 Units / 70% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 124 games (+12.37 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 away games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.80 Units / 116% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 68 games (+21.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 91 games (+14.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 62% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 61-63 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -0.77% ROI).
- 72-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.37 Units / 7.82% ROI
- 59-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -3.69% ROI
- 58-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -5.04% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 66-59 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 7.27% ROI).
- 73-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -3% ROI
- 68-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.3 Units / 6.74% ROI
- 53-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.7 Units / -15.81% ROI
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Matthew Boyd (CLE) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd had a strike rate of 76% (61/80) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has a strike rate of 76% (61/80) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has not allowed a walk in any of his last three starts — the longest active streak is 4.
Matthew Boyd allowed an OPS of just .380 (19 PA’s) in his last start — 10th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .650 — 90th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .136 (22-for-162) against Luis Gil versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .254 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .183 (80-for-436) against Luis Gil since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 32 of 271 right-handed batters (12%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Luis Gil has thrown his changeup 27% of the time (136/504) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 21-22 (.488) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Guardians are 37-158 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 43-29 (.597) after a win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Guardians are 24-11 (.686) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 40-9 (.816) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .646.
The Yankees are 25-12 (.676) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 43-114 (.274) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Guardians are batting just .282 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 88% of their games this month (17 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Yankees pitchers this month (15 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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