- The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Yankees TV Channel: BSGL | YES | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Guardians are 73-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 67-60 ATS.
Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 2-5, 4.99 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 4-2, 4.18 ERA
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -105 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -115 | -175 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 41 games (+30.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 22 away games (+18.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+13.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 26 games (+22.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+15.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.95 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.25 Units / 70% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 126 games (+12.67 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 away games (+9.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.80 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 70 games (+23.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 93 games (+14.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 62-64 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -0.89% ROI).
- 73-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.67 Units / 7.91% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -2.19% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.55% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 67-60 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 7.18% ROI).
- 74-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -3.2% ROI
- 70-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.3 Units / 8.06% ROI
- 53-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.9 Units / -17.14% ROI
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (99/351) against Gavin Williams since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
17 of Gavin Williams’ 61 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) have been backdoor since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has an ERA of 2.67 (54.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — 93rd Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .206 (42-for-204) against Gavin Williams since last season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 93rd Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .205 (129-for-628) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .208 (129-for-619) against Gerrit Cole when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 91st Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .307 (193 Total Bases / 628 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 56% (26/46) against Gerrit Cole on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 60-2 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Guardians are 22-23 (.489) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Guardians are just 3-45 (.062) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Guardians are just 2-46 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 25-12 (.676) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
The Yankees are 72-23 (.758) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,218 strikeouts in 12,054 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians are batting just .278 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 169 walks in 1,387 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 78 walks in 614 PA’s (13%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Guardians have allowed 0.84 runs per game (106/126) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Yankees pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .229 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Yankees vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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