The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit HoHoKam Stadium to take on the Oakland Athletics (-110) on Tuesday, March 12, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the Mariners are 2-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 8-3 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -110 |
| Athletics | -110 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 5-5 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -5.81% ROI).
- 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.71 Units / -53.21% ROI
- 9-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.82 Units / 70.26% ROI
- 1-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -81.42% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 8-3 against the Run Line (+5.97 Units / 45.4% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.82 Units / 32.15% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -3.73% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -4.12% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth-best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season (tied for sixth-worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed an OBP of just .234 (282 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller threw fastballs 65% of the time (423/648) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 67% of Bryce Miller’s pitches (431/648) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood had a strikeout rate of just 32% (74/234) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (53/310) against Alex Wood in the 2023 season — tied for lowest among in NL; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Alex Wood allowed an OBP of .312 (234 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Alex Wood had a strikeout rate of just 17% (74/429) in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners were 64-13 (.831) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Mariners were 76-2 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 3.42 (744.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out
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