- The Mariners are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Blue Jays TV Channel: RTNW | RSN
The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Mariners are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 7-5 ATS.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 0-0, 3.56 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 0-1, 2.80 ERA
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | O 8 +100 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -120 | -110 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Castillo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+8.00 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+12.34 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 3-9 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -51.16% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -37.5% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -10.77% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 2.97% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 7-5 against the Run Line (+0.8 Units / 4.47% ROI).
- 6-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 6.37% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -4.17% ROI
- 6-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -4.91% ROI
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garver | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Haniger | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rodriguez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Polanco | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kirk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| France | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Turner | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Haniger | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Turner | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Haniger | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| France | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Garver | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gilbert | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Kikuchi | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (12/32) against Logan Gilbert this season — 6th best among in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has thrown his slider 51% of the time (18/35) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (20/50) against Logan Gilbert this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Logan Gilbert when ahead in the count this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .184 — 95th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (26/42) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 62% of the time (26/42) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (17/26) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (17/26) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 80-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Mariners were 65-13 (.833) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Mariners are 25-19 (.568) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Mariners were 44-7 (.863) when they had 10 or more hits in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 21-14 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Blue Jays were just 9-54 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Blue Jays were 5-56 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .269 (357 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Mariners hitters have 109 strikeouts in 357 PA’s (30%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .228 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 14 strikeouts in 91 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,735 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .124 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 899 of 12,448 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 3.42 (744.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.46 (808.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.50 (18.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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