- The Mariners are -105 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Blue Jays TV Channel: ATV
The Seattle Mariners (-105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-115) on Friday, April 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Mariners are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 15-4 ATS.
Mariners vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 2-0, 2.84 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 1-2, 3.71 ERA
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -110 | -105 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -110 | -115 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+19.90 Units / 199% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+19.50 Units / 195% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 80% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 away games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 81 away games (+0.45 Units / 0% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 10-9 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 7.94% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 15-4 against the Run Line (+11.2 Units / 39.23% ROI).
- 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 18.1% ROI
- 7-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -28.29% ROI
- 12-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 20.19% ROI
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (4/25) against Bryan Woo this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Bryan Woo has not allowed a runner to reach base (20 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .274 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (47/64) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (188/256) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .133 (20-for-150) against Bowden Francis when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .250 (612 PA’s) since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .190 (107-for-563) against Bowden Francis since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 99th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OPS of 1.764 (15 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .744 — second Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 2-7 (.222) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .028.
The Mariners are 80-1 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners were just 66-16 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Mariners are 63-7 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 27-44 (.380) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Blue Jays are just 2-81 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .210 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .211 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .369 (265 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .171 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .400 (183 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Blue Jays are batting .298 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .253 (1,615 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Mariners pitchers have walked 87 of 1,616 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .043 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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