- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
- Mariners vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / Marlins TV Channel: RTNW | BSFL
The Seattle Mariners (-175) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+145) on Saturday, June 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Mariners are 44-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 32-43 ATS.
Mariners vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 4-4, 2.95 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Shaun Anderson 0-1, 10.81 ERA
Mariners vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -115 | -175 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -120 | U 7.5 -105 | +145 |
Mariners vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+19.40 Units / 149% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+13.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 away games (+12.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+24.20 Units / 269% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+15.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+14.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+4.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 37-41 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -7.53% ROI).
- 44-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 2.91% ROI
- 30-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.7 Units / -22.28% ROI
- 45-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.7 Units / 13.64% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 32-43 against the Run Line (-25.26 Units / -24.53% ROI).
- 26-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -24.16% ROI
- 39-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 1.27% ROI
- 35-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -8.97% ROI
Marlins vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Marlins vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Marlins vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .245 (421 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .125 against Logan Gilbert this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .169 (77 PA’s) this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .243 (374 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mariners are 172-7 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Mariners are 9-2 (.818) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Mariners are 90-15 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Mariners are 99-16 (.861) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Marlins are just 2-9 (.182) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.
The Marlins are just 17-32 (.347) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Marlins are just 15-26 (.366) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Marlins are just 14-9 (.609) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Mariners are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Mariners are batting just .212 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mariners hitters have 568 strikeouts in 2,025 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .596 (922 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Marlins hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .265 (1,222 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .272 (922 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.48 (355.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Mariners pitchers have walked 606 of 8,786 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 18% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 185 of 2,780 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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