- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Pirates
- Mariners vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mariners / Pirates TV Channel: RTNW | SNPT
The Seattle Mariners (-160) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Mariners are 63-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 68-54 ATS.
Mariners vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 8-9, 3.29 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jake Woodford 0-4, 5.88 ERA
Mariners vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -120 | -160 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -120 | U 8.5 +100 | +135 |
Mariners vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+21.90 Units / 156% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+14.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 48 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games (+20.90 Units / 161% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 49 games (+20.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+13.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 39% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+13.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+8.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 33 away games (+2.75 Units / 7% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 83 games (+16.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 78 games (+5.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 53-71 against the Run Line (-22.7 Units / -14.51% ROI).
- 63-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -8.2% ROI
- 53-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -14.72% ROI
- 67-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 6.39% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 68-54 against the Run Line (+11.56 Units / 7.35% ROI).
- 58-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -5.04% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -5.95% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.07 Units / -2.3% ROI
Pirates vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Pirates vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Pirates vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Jake Woodford (CWS) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 12 of 502 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 5 of 225 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (1,567/3,600) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 6 of 317 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Woodford has struck out just 11% (23/211) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2022 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (143/890) against Jake Woodford since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 13% (67 SO in 512 PAs) since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .298 (56-for-188) against Jake Woodford since the 2022 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Mariners are just 5-20 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Mariners are 106-19 (.848) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mariners are 39-4 (.907) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Mariners are 129-3 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Pirates are just 13-18 (.419) after a home win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Pirates are just 7-21 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Pirates are just 48-5 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Pirates are just 100-22 (.820) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .209 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Mariners are batting just .211 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .197 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 203 strikeouts in 589 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 433 strikeouts in 1,284 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .494 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.41 (284.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 22% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 60 of 1,102 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .255 (1,102 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Pirates pitchers this month (14 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,554 of 17,137 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Pirates pitchers this month (14 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Pirates have won 34% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- J.P. Crawford (Seattle Mariners): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Dominic Canzone (Seattle Mariners): Thigh, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Achilles, 60-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Julio Rodriguez (Seattle Mariners): Ankle, 10-Day IL
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