Mariners vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 20

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(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Mariners are +100 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Mariners vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mariners / Rangers TV Channel: RTNW | BSSW | MLBN

The Seattle Mariners (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mariners are 78-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 68-85 ATS.

Mariners vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 12-11, 3.51 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mariners-1.5 +180O 7 -115+100
Rangers +1.5 -225U 7 -105-120

Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 29 games (+32.50 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 38 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Victor Robles has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+19.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+16.50 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+8.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 59 away games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 away games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 away games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.30 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 41 games (+18.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games at home (+17.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 73 games at home (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+7.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+7.65 Units / 64% ROI)

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 66-87 against the Run Line (-25.25 Units / -13.2% ROI).

  • 78-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.66 Units / -8.22% ROI
  • 69-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -7.6% ROI
  • 75-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.73 Units / -0.44% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 68-85 against the Run Line (-28.65 Units / -14.23% ROI).

  • 73-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -9.47% ROI
  • 69-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -8.6% ROI
  • 76-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.02 Units / 0.01% ROI

Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Luke Raley (SEA) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Ezequiel Duran (TEX) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jacob deGrom (TEX) 6.5 -110 6.5 -120
George Kirby (SEA) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140

George Kirby has walked 14 of 556 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 7 of 279 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 22 of 732 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 8 of 394 right-handed batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jacob deGrom has not allowed a walk in his last 90 PAs against a RHH dating back to September 24th, 2022 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Jacob deGrom has pitched 9.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Kevin Kelly has the longest active streak at 25.0.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 113-20 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.

The Mariners are 116-17 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Mariners are 210-4 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Mariners are 177-27 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 12-192 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Rangers are just 11-105 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Rangers are just 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The Rangers are just 19-26 (.422) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Mariners are batting just .196 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Mariners are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .217 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Mariners are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Rangers hitters have 42 strikeouts in 120 PA’s (35%) against LHP this month (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .224 against LHP this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,354/18,035 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 72 of 1,360 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .276 (5,463 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.

Mariners pitchers have walked 169 of 2,815 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.34 (637.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 7.48 (49.1 IP) on the road this month (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rangers have allowed 5.39 runs per game (404/75) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.

Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
  • Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.