- The Mariners are -110 favorites vs the Rays
- Mariners vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / Rays TV Channel: RTNW | BSUN
The Seattle Mariners (-110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Mariners are 45-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 36-42 ATS.
Mariners vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo 3-1, 1.67 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 2-4, 4.03 ERA
Mariners vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -115 | -110 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -105 | -110 |
Mariners vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 away games (+17.40 Units / 116% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.50 Units / 270% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 away games (+4.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 75 games (+21.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 38-42 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -7.39% ROI).
- 45-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 2.29% ROI
- 32-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.7 Units / -19.35% ROI
- 45-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.6 Units / 10.93% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 36-42 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -8.26% ROI).
- 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -10.64% ROI
- 40-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.58% ROI
- 37-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -8.09% ROI
Rays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Josh Rojas (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Rays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Rays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has allowed an OPS of just .398 (136 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an OBP of just .176 (136 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 79% of the time (396/503) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed a slugging percentage of just .221 (29 Total Bases / 131 ABs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .538 (28 Total Bases / 52 ABs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .269 — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .538 (28 Total Bases / 52 ABs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .281 — second Percentile.
Taj Bradley has struck out 32% (106/327) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .530 (125 Total Bases / 236 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .413 — second Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Mariners are 173-7 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Mariners are 183-4 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 100-16 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Mariners are 166-16 (.912) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rays are just 10-24 (.294) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rays are just 17-38 (.309) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Rays are 11-89 (.110) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rays are 22-11 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .212 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have 219 strikeouts in 834 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
27% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Rays hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 18% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 36 of 709 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .238 (709 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.48 (355.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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