- The Red Sox are -140 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Mariners / Red Sox TV Channel: RTNW | NESN
The Seattle Mariners (+118) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-140) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Mariners are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 13-12 ATS.
Mariners vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 0-1, 12.72 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Sean Newcomb 0-2, 3.57 ERA
Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -180 | O 10 -102 | +118 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 10 -118 | -140 |
Mariners vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+17.35 Units / 174% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dylan Moore has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+14.30 Units / 92% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+12.15 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trevor Story has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 12-11 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 5.36% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -3.63% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.59% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -8.68% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 13-12 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 2.77% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -4.39% ROI
- 10-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -18.86% ROI
- 14-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 11.01% ROI
Red Sox vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Red Sox vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dylan Moore (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Red Sox vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Red Sox vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Emerson Hancock (SEA) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Sean Newcomb (BOS) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Emerson Hancock has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to September 13rd, 2024 — tied with Zack Wheeler for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Newcomb has allowed a BABIP of .471 this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .284 — 0 Percentile.
Sean Newcomb has allowed an OBP of .375 (40 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .247 — second Percentile.
Sean Newcomb has allowed a BABIP of .488 against right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .284 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .387 (12-for-31) against Sean Newcomb when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Mariners are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .035.
The Mariners are 158-3 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Mariners were 72-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are 55-11 (.833) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Red Sox are 5-1 (.833) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Mariners (21st best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox are 8-5 (.615) after a win this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .481.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .187 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Mariners are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .222 at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners hitters struck out 1,172 times in 4,293 PA’s (27%) against RHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have drawn walks in 13% of its PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Red Sox batted .300 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 28% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 98 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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