- Mariners / Rockies TV Channel: RTNW | ROTV
The Seattle Mariners (-115) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Colorado Rockies (-105) on Friday, March 1, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Mariners are 0-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 4-1 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -115 |
| Rockies | -105 |
Mariners vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+12.89 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 away games (+12.17 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.69 Units / 19% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games at home (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games at home (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 150 games (+9.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mariners are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -79.38% ROI
- 4-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 91.95% ROI
- 0-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -100% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 4-1 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 46.51% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.24 Units / 82.33% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 13.27% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -22.43% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo threw fastballs 73% of the time (1,052/1,448) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% (59/170) against Bryan Woo on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
82% of Bryan Woo’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (16/81) against Bryan Woo on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland allowed a slugging percentage of .732 (52 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on changeups in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .437 (31-for-71) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .275 (82-for-298) against Kyle Freeland when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .196 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Freeland recorded no strikeouts in 16 PA’s (0% strikeout rate) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners were 64-13 (.831) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Mariners were 76-2 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 3.42 (744.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
- Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out
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