- The Royals are -120 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mariners / Royals TV Channel: RTNW | BSKC
The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-130) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Mariners are 36-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-24 ATS.
Mariners vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 5-5, 3.77 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 4-4, 3.22 ERA
Mariners vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -200 | O 7 +100 | +110 |
| Royals | -1.5 +165 | U 7 -120 | -130 |
Mariners vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+15.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+14.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+12.55 Units / 78% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+12.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 54 games (+3.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.04 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+15.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+9.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 32-34 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -6% ROI).
- 36-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.71% ROI
- 24-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.3 Units / -25.92% ROI
- 39-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +12 Units / 16.53% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 41-24 against the Run Line (+12.44 Units / 13.62% ROI).
- 39-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.55 Units / 19.16% ROI
- 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -10.37% ROI
- 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.42% ROI
Royals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Loftin (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Royals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby (SEA) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -135 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 7 of 301 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 2 of 117 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 1 of 151 right-handed batters (1%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 10 of 394 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Ragans has a strike rate of 66% when ahead in the count (tied for ninth highest)– 89th Percentile and 64% when behind in the count this season (lowest among qualified SPs)– first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .522 (12 GB hits out of 23 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 33% (177/530) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 32% (79/244) against Cole Ragans this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Mariners are 20-2 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .811.
The Mariners are 26-1 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Mariners are just 2-21 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .189.
The Mariners are 19-17 (.528) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Royals are just 18-90 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are 16-18 (.471) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Royals are just 23-51 (.311) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Royals are just 34-37 (.479) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .616.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Mariners are batting just .221 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of .399 (289 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Royals are batting .336 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of .423 (142 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 160 of 2,344 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .237 (582 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Mariners pitchers have walked 220 of 3,486 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 581 of 8,350 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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