- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mariners / Yankees TV Channel: RTNW | AMZP | ESPN+
The Seattle Mariners () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Mariners are 27-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 27-23 ATS.
Mariners vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 3-4, 3.08 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 2-4, 3.56 ERA
Mariners vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+17.20 Units / 246% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+12.10 Units / 68% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+14.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 66% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+3.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.99 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+10.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 25-24 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.43% ROI).
- 27-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 1.08% ROI
- 18-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -23.75% ROI
- 28-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.7 Units / 14.38% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 27-23 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 11.49% ROI).
- 33-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 12.06% ROI
- 21-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -15.6% ROI
- 27-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 7.16% ROI
Yankees vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Yankees vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clarke Schmidt (NYY) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Bryan Woo (SEA) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (21/77) against Bryce Miller this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Bryce Miller has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (255/348) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .156 (12-for-77) against Bryce Miller when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 92nd Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .198 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .287 — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (20/64) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (47/148) against Nestor Cortes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (98/351) against Nestor Cortes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (15-for-51) against Nestor Cortes’ elevated fastball this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 12th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mariners are 160-6 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Mariners are 31-4 (.886) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Mariners are 98-2 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Mariners are 54-9 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Yankees are 23-18 (.561) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 47-15 (.758) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .618.
The Yankees are 124-90 (.579) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Yankees are 95-6 (.941) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .235 (434 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Mariners pitchers have walked 122 of 1,756 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 216 of 3,338 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 80% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 24% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Yankees vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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