- The Athletics are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Athletics Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Athletics TV Channel: ESPN+ | BSFL | NSCA
The Miami Marlins (+115) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (-135) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 9-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 18-14 ATS.
Marlins vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 2-2, 4.50 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: JP Sears 1-2, 4.64 ERA
Marlins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Athletics | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Marlins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Athletics will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 24 games (+12.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.30 Units / 75% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+27.00 Units / 386% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 46% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 10-23 against the Run Line (-17.26 Units / -41.33% ROI).
- 9-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -43.1% ROI
- 18-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 4.83% ROI
- 15-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -12.65% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 18-14 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.36% ROI).
- 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 16.74% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -16.21% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 6.75% ROI
Athletics vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Christian Bethancourt (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Athletics vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Emmanuel Rivera (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Athletics vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .500 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — first Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .500 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .282 — second Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OPS of 1.130 (102 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .741 — first Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (80/172) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .085 (4-for-47) against JP Sears when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (30/98) against JP Sears this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
JP Sears has struck out just 13% (13/99) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (14/44) against JP Sears in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Marlins are 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Marlins are just 23-81 (.221) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Marlins are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Marlins are 15-165 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Athletics are just 33-64 (.340) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 35-75 (.318) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Athletics are just 8-56 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .260 (455 PA’s) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .496 (378 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .668.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (9,475 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .644 (9,475 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .355 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 444.9
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins have won just 15% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Athletics have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Athletics pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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