- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSFL | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Marlins are 5-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 12-10 ATS.
Marlins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sixto Sanchez 0-1, 5.87 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-0, 0.51 ERA
Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +100 | O 9 -110 | +180 |
| Braves | -1.5 -120 | U 9 -110 | -225 |
Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 82 of their last 144 games (+15.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-16 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 5-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 12-10 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Braves vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Braves vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 4% (1/23) against Sixto Sanchez this season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (7/60) against Sixto Sanchez this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Sixto Sanchez has a first-pitch strike rate of just 35% (12/34) this season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (7/60) against Sixto Sanchez this season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .174 (23-for-132) against Reynaldo Lopez since last season — tied for 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .230 — 92nd Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 17 of 336 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 90th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .257 (334 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 93rd Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .265 (35 Total Bases / 132 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .368 — 94th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Marlins are 17-67 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Marlins are 8-82 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Marlins are just 108-29 (.788) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Marlins are just 30-56 (.349) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Braves are 34-51 (.400) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Braves are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 176-35 (.834) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .242 (401 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .295 (3,106 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .658 (3,106 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .321 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 441.8
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.43 (121.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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