- The Cardinals are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | BSFL
The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Marlins are 0-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 7-2 ATS.
Marlins vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Max Meyer 0-0, 3.60 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 1-0, 2.57 ERA
Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -165 | O 9 -115 | +120 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | U 9 -105 | -145 |
Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.85 Units / 68% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 66% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-9 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -100% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.95 Units / 51.3% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -57.14% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 7-2 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 51.53% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 24.87% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -11.4% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 8.37% ROI
Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gorman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Chisholm | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Goldschmidt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Winn | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gibson | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Meyer | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (5/37) against Max Meyer this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (2-for-17) against Max Meyer this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 94th Percentile.
Max Meyer has a strike rate of just 58% (46/79) this season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.
Max Meyer has allowed a BABIP of .083 this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .293 — 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .205 (71-for-346) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — sixth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 55% (584/1,066) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson allowed a slugging percentage of .327 (113 Total Bases / 346 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — sixth Percentile.
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 59% (480/815) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Marlins are 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Marlins are 13-150 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Marlins are just 104-26 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .869.
The Marlins are 42-19 (.689) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals were just 19-28 (.404) after a home loss in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .390 (95 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have chased 50% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .186 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .601 (267 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Cardinals hitter’ K:BB ratio is 5.0 against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.
Cardinals hitters have drawn 159 walks in 1,649 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 50 of 388 batters (13%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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