- The Cubs are -220 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Cubs TV Channel: FDFL | MARQ
The Miami Marlins (+180) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-220) on Wednesday, May 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Marlins are 15-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 22-21 ATS.
Marlins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 2-2, 4.54 ERA
Marlins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -118 | O 7.5 -105 | +180 |
| Cubs | -1.5 -102 | U 7.5 -115 | -220 |
Marlins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+16.10 Units / 268% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 87% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+13.20 Units / 132% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+6.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+2.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 20-21 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -4.13% ROI).
- 15-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -12.49% ROI
- 26-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 20.09% ROI
- 15-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.5 Units / -30.24% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 22-21 against the Run Line (+0.67 Units / 1.23% ROI).
- 25-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 8.82% ROI
- 25-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 16.72% ROI
- 16-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -24.87% ROI
Cubs vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Cubs vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Cubs vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has not thrown a pitch in the zone in 1,413 pitches since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 20th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers allowed a slugging percentage of just .221 (23 Total Bases / 104 ABs) on low non-fastballs in the 2024 season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 89th Percentile.
64 of Ryan Weathers’ 80 strikeouts (80%) came on non-fastballs in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 98th Percentile.
35 of Ryan Weathers’ 80 strikeouts (44%) came on changeups in the 2024 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 96th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .632 (43 Total Bases / 68 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon allowed an OBP of just .217 (129 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (18 Total Bases / 30 ABs) with two-strikes this month (2 game{NumGameSuffix}) — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of .924 (81 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — second Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 8-3 (.727) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Marlins are just 24-52 (.316) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Marlins are just 47-16 (.746) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cubs are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Cubs are 80-49 (.620) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
The Cubs are 40-12 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .633.
The Cubs were 32-10 (.762) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters are slugging .255 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .177 (96 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Cubs hitters are slugging .478 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 6.58 runs per game (125/19) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 6.59 (159.2 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.27 (955.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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