- The Dodgers are -350 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSFL | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+240) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Tuesday, May 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 10-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 19-18 ATS.
Marlins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 1-1, 5.96 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3-1, 2.89 ERA
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +2.5 -145 | O 7.5 -110 | +240 |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +120 | U 7.5 -110 | -300 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 70.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gordon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 17 games (+15.50 Units / 91% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 28 games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 games at home (+17.90 Units / 94% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+9.45 Units / 79% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 away games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 129 games (+17.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 11-26 against the Run Line (-20.91 Units / -43.42% ROI).
- 10-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.2 Units / -43.28% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 8.99% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -17.03% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 19-18 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -2.56% ROI).
- 24-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.65% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 6.32% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.05 Units / -14.7% ROI
Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -110 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (82/465) against Edward Cabrera since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has averaged 92.7 MPH on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 85.5 — 100th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 34 of 198 batters (17%) versus the top of the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (41/247) against Edward Cabrera since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
6 of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has struck out 33% (26/79) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strikeout rate of 30% (42 SO in 140 PAs) this season — 5th best among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 91st Percentile.
6 of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 110-29 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Marlins are just 14-45 (.237) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Marlins are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Marlins are 28-15 (.651) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 46-16 (.742) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 111-14 (.888) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Dodgers are 29-9 (.763) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Dodgers are 211-34 (.861) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .578 (520 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 318 double plays in 2,399 opportunities (13%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have chased 33% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .869 (739 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .672.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .469 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .369 (739 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .794 (9,967 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Marlins vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
