- The Dodgers are -275 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSFL | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 10-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 20-18 ATS.
Marlins vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 2-3, 4.50 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 2-1, 4.07 ERA
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +105 | O 9 -120 | +200 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -125 | U 9 +100 | -250 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 71.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Gordon has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 games (+14.50 Units / 81% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+13.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 105% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 20 games at home (+16.90 Units / 85% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 65% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 36% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 67 away games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 73 of their last 129 games (+17.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 11-27 against the Run Line (-21.91 Units / -44.57% ROI).
- 10-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -44.6% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 11.14% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -19.12% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 20-18 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.22% ROI).
- 25-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.76% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 8.55% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -16.82% ROI
Dodgers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Dodgers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .484 (62 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — first Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (94/210) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (19-for-51) against Ryan Weathers when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .223 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (19-for-51) against Ryan Weathers when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — second Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 5% (2 SO in 38 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 12% (10 SO in 84 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 10% (3 SO in 29 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 21% — eighth Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 50-32 (.610) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Marlins are just 59-15 (.797) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are just 14-46 (.233) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Marlins are just 110-29 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 46-16 (.742) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 212-34 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 87-39 (.690) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Dodgers are 29-9 (.763) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .530 (443 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .677.
Marlins hitters have grounded into 318 double plays in 2,400 opportunities (13%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Marlins hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have drawn 122 walks in 1,909 PA’s (6%) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .794 (9,999 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .470 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .829 (963 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .693.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .359 (963 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 159 of 1,505 batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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