- The Nationals are -135 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Marlins / Nationals TV Channel: FDFL | MAS2 | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-130) on Saturday, June 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Marlins are 26-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 36-33 ATS.
Marlins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cade Gibson 1-3, 0.95 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 3-7, 5.88 ERA
Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -102 | +110 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -118 | -130 |
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Marlins vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+19.40 Units / 242% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Call has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 away games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.89 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games (+9.92 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 35-32 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -1.95% ROI).
- 26-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -11.13% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.34% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -11.45% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 36-33 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -4.42% ROI).
- 30-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.47 Units / -2.05% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -8.42% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.13% ROI
Nationals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Nationals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Liam Hicks (MIA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Nationals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (21/132) against Cade Gibson this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
33% of Cade Gibson’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — tied for 14th lowest among among 217 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — eighth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (17/28) against Cade Gibson this season — 10th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 90th Percentile.
Cade Gibson has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 17.0 innings pitched — Drew Rasmussen has the longest active streak at 20.2.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a swing rate of just 34% (168/498) against Trevor Williams on sliders in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (15-for-35) against Trevor Williams’ elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (619/1,221) of the time in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his changeup for a strike just 35% (53/152) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 59% — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Marlins are just 61-14 (.813) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Marlins are just 56-17 (.767) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Marlins are just 27-59 (.314) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Marlins are just 88-141 (.384) since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Nationals are just 52-178 (.226) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Nationals are just 171-221 (.435) since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 164-194 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 5-17 (.217) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters averaged just 3.72 pitches per plate appearance against LHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters had an OBP of just .285 (819 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .260 (228 PA’s) against RHP this month (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.74 (282.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Marlins vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
