- The Rays are -250 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Rays TV Channel: FDFL | FSUN
The Miami Marlins (+185) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-225) on Sunday, June 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Marlins are 24-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 31-33 ATS.
Marlins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Anthony Veneziano 0-0, 4.50 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 5-4, 2.14 ERA
Marlins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -110 | O 8.5 +100 | +185 |
| Rays | -1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -120 | -225 |
Marlins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+16.30 Units / 326% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+8.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Liam Hicks has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+15.30 Units / 153% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+14.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.35 Units / 64% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+8.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.40 Units / 27% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 32-30 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -1.74% ROI).
- 24-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -10.94% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 3.47% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -13.69% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 31-33 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -2.29% ROI).
- 34-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.78 Units / 0.98% ROI
- 24-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -17 Units / -23.86% ROI
- 37-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.2 Units / 16.08% ROI
Rays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rays vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Rays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Anthony Veneziano (MIA) | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -185 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony Veneziano has allowed a slugging percentage of .526 (20 Total Bases / 38 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 6th highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .368 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .115 (3-for-26) against Anthony Veneziano with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .248 — 96th Percentile.
Anthony Veneziano has allowed a slugging percentage of .529 (37 Total Bases / 70 ABs) this season — 12th highest among among 214 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — fifth Percentile.
Anthony Veneziano has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (25 Total Bases / 35 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (272/521) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 53% of the time (108/205) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (137/317) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (137/317) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Marlins are just 58-14 (.806) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Marlins are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rays are 16-151 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 4-24 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Rays are 6-25 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Rays are 17-90 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Marlins are just 23-56 (.291) against the run line (-41.3% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters had an OPS of .774 (4,837 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Rays hitters slugged .445 against RHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.13 (1063.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 63 double plays in 403 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 4% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have won 57% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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