- The Yankees are -225 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Yankees TV Channel: BSFL | AMZP | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+180) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-225) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Marlins are 1-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 7-5 ATS.
Marlins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 0-1, 3.86 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -105 | +180 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -115 | U 8.5 -115 | -225 |
Marlins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 51% ROI)
- Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 2-10 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -70.41% ROI).
- 1-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -84.23% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 29.34% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -36.06% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-5 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 18.48% ROI).
- 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 50.48% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -44.85% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.75 Units / 36.82% ROI
Yankees vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Judge | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Stanton | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Burger | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Soto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Torres | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Yankees vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Torres | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Stanton | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Burger | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Anderson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Judge | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Yankees vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Judge | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Stanton | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Rizzo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Burger | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Volpe | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Stroman | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Weathers | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has thrown inside pitches 59% of the time (37/63) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 52% (23/44) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 12% (7/60) against Ryan Weathers in non-two strike counts this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .370 (10-for-27) against Ryan Weathers this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .243 — eighth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitless in 21 AB’s against Marcus Stroman with two-strikes this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 41% (26/63) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 21 AB’s against Marcus Stroman with two-strikes this season — tied for best among in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 41% (26/63) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Marlins were 54-8 (.871) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Marlins are 56-10 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .783.
The Marlins are 95-15 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Marlins were 16-55 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees are 57-15 (.792) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Yankees were just 9-37 (.196) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Yankees are 148-10 (.937) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have chased 51% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .232 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .468 (229 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .215 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Yankees batted just .220 against starting pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 64 of 497 batters (13%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins pitchers have picked-off 2 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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