- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Marlins / Yankees TV Channel: BSFL | YES
The Miami Marlins (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Marlins are 1-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 7-4 ATS.
Marlins vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: A.J. Puk 0-2, 9.54 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 0-0, 2.80 ERA
Marlins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -105 | +155 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -115 | -190 |
Marlins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 64% ROI)
- Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 1-10 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -82.27% ROI).
- 1-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -83.01% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 40.17% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -47.76% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 7-4 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 27.76% ROI).
- 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 51.31% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -40.48% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 32.05% ROI
Yankees vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Soto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Chisholm | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Fortes | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Trevino | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -2000 |
Yankees vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rodon | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| J. Puk | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 49% (34/70) against A.J. Puk on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
A.J. Puk has walked 9 of 35 batters (26%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
A.J. Puk’s K:BB ratio was 14.5 (29/2) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 2.4 — 98th Percentile.
A.J. Puk struck out 38% (29/76) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed an OPS of 1.067 (24 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .459 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (13 Total Bases / 20 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .650 (13 Total Bases / 20 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against Carlos Rodon this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Marlins are 13-151 (.079) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Marlins are 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Marlins are 16-61 (.208) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Marlins were 24-3 (.889) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 47-49 (.490) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Yankees are just 16-28 (.364) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Yankees are 147-10 (.936) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have chased 44% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters had an OBP of just .299 (4,805 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have picked-off 2 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Marlins pitchers have walked 57 of 459 batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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