- The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Angels
- Mets vs Angels Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Mets / Angels TV Channel: SNY | BSW | MLBN
The New York Mets (-155) visit Angel Stadium of Anaheim to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+130) on Sunday, August 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim, CA.
This season, the Mets are 58-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 62-49 ATS.
Mets vs Angels Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 6-6, 3.86 ERA
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 3-10, 5.25 ERA
Mets vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +105 | O 10 -120 | -155 |
| Angels | +1.5 -125 | U 10 +100 | +130 |
Mets vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+30.50 Units / 339% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+13.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.80 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 49 games (+18.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 51 games (+14.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 61 of their last 101 games (+13.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 69 games (+10.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 64 of their last 111 games (+13.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 53 games at home (+7.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+5.10 Units / 13% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 54-56 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -2.26% ROI).
- 58-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 1.48% ROI
- 57-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 4.25% ROI
- 47-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -12.67% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 62-49 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.56% ROI).
- 48-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.83% ROI
- 54-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -2.57% ROI
- 52-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -7 Units / -5.76% ROI
Angels vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Angels vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kevin Pillar (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Angels vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kevin Pillar (LAA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Angels vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (LAA) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (301/525) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 12% (10 SO in 80 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
12 of Jose Quintana’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (867/1,469) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .592 (106 Total Bases / 179 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .302 (54-for-179) against Griffin Canning when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (39 Total Bases / 61 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — fourth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has a strikeout rate of just 16% (32 SO in 198 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Mets are 6-42 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Mets are just 42-11 (.792) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Mets are just 105-17 (.861) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Mets are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Angels are just 19-25 (.432) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Angels are just 41-46 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Angels are just 25-114 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Angels are just 81-36 (.692) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .445 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .772 (1,177 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Mets are batting .267 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .330 (2,026 PA’s) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels have scored first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .276 (1,247 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels are hitting just .211 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in the game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .632 (1,247 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 416 of 4,212 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 89 of 988 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Mets have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Mets pitchers have walked 229 of 2,400 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels pitchers have walked 97 of 987 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 73% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Angels pitchers have walked 369 of 3,861 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Adam Cimber (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Robert Stephenson (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Wantz (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Patrick Sandoval (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kelvin Caceres (Los Angeles Angels): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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