Mets vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 8

min read
St. Louis Cardinals second baseman Nolan Gorman throws out Cincinnati Reds' Elly De La Cruz at first base during the fifth inning of a baseball game, Friday, Sept. 8, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 08, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Cardinals are -165 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mets / Cardinals TV Channel: SNY | ESPN+ | BSMW

The New York Mets (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Wednesday, May 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Mets are 18-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 18-18 ATS.

Mets vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-3, 5.16 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 4-1, 0.89 ERA

Mets vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -165O 7.5 -105+120
Cardinals -1.5 +140U 7.5 -115-145

Mets vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 29 games (+9.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.50 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+18.60 Units / 233% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+14.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+13.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 92 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 18-18 against the Run Line (+0.75 Units / 1.66% ROI).

  • 18-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.38% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -5.02% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -3.92% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 18-18 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -2.85% ROI).

  • 15-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -19.79% ROI
  • 12-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.4 Units / -31.12% ROI
  • 22-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +9 Units / 22.84% ROI

Cardinals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Tyrone Taylor (NYM) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Cardinals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jose Fermin (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Dylan Carlson (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Lars Nootbaar (STL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Ivan Herrera (STL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Cardinals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Ivan Herrera (STL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Cardinals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Quintana (NYM) 3.5 -105 3.5 -120

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 10% (6 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 31% (25 SO in 80 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (16/96) against Jose Quintana this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 20% (11 SO in 54 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — eighth Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .537 (333 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .171 (51 Total Bases / 298 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .381 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (27 Total Bases / 228 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .398 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .308 (92 Total Bases / 299 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 97th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Mets are just 3-84 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Mets are 167-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Mets are 95-24 (.798) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The Mets are just 7-135 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cardinals are just 15-27 (.357) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 41-57 (.418) at home since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Cardinals are just 24-34 (.414) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

Mets hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Mets are batting just .239 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .827 (263 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.050.

Mets hitters are slugging just .333 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

The Cardinals are just 34-52 (.382) against the run line (-29.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.

The Cardinals are batting just .187 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Cardinals are batting just .234 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .334 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .377.

Mets pitchers have walked 161 of 1,390 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have walked 60 of 501 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 112 of 1,752 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.