- The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Diamondbacks TV Channel: SNY | DBTV | MLBN
The New York Mets (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Mets are 69-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 68-64 ATS.
Mets vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 9-6, 3.83 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 2-0, 3.94 ERA
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +160 | O 8.5 +100 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -210 | U 8.5 -120 | -125 |
Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 away games (+37.00 Units / 185% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+23.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 43 games (+32.70 Units / 76% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+17.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+16.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 84 games (+10.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 123 games (+8.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 76 games (+24.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 75 games (+23.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 64-68 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -4.61% ROI).
- 69-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -1.01% ROI
- 66-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.21% ROI
- 60-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -8.27% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 68-64 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -1.54% ROI).
- 75-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 8.44% ROI
- 73-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.1 Units / 8.96% ROI
- 54-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -26 Units / -18.01% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 2.10 (94.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .163 (14-for-86) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 382.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season is 384.2 feet — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 399.0
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mets are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are just 114-18 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Mets are just 51-12 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Mets are just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Diamondbacks are 19-13 (.594) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Diamondbacks are 40-38 (.513) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Diamondbacks are 20-14 (.588) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
The Diamondbacks are just 178-29 (.860) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (17,267 PA’s) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Mets hitters are slugging .626 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .561.
The Mets are batting .256 on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Mets have been successful on 56% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .342 (2,416 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 62% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 497 of 5,027 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 104 of 1,180 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 28% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Mets vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
