- The Mets are +105 favorites vs the Giants
- Mets vs Giants Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Mets / Giants TV Channel: SNY | NSBA | ESPN+ | MLBN
The New York Mets (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Monday, April 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Mets are 12-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 9-14 ATS.
Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 1-1, 3.05 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Keaton Winn 1-3, 4.09 ERA
Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | O 8 +100 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -120 | -115 |
Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Butto has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jose Quintana has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jose Butto has hit the Earned Runs Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jose Quintana has hit the Strikeouts Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.35 Units / 69% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 73 games at home (+1.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-9 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 20.98% ROI).
- 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 13.63% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 9.89% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -18.76% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 9-14 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -21.72% ROI).
- 10-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -21.6% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 13.2% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -21.64% ROI
Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| DJ Stewart (NYM) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Harrison Bader (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (217/380) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has allowed three-ball counts to 36% of batters they faced (28/78 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (191/333) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 44% (55/125) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keaton Winn has a strikeout rate of just 6% (2 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (34/60) against Keaton Winn this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Keaton Winn has struck out just 12% (6/50) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Keaton Winn versus the bottom of the order this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .210 — 97th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Mets are just 3-78 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Mets are just 12-67 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Mets are 151-14 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Mets are just 7-129 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Giants are just 20-25 (.444) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Giants are 26-14 (.650) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Giants are 140-3 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are just 20-34 (.370) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mets hitters have just 34 strikeouts in 222 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .983 (169 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .658.
Mets hitters have just 7 strikeouts in 69 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Giants hitters are slugging just .399 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Giants hitters are slugging just .245 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 36 of 230 batters (16%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.44 (110.2 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Giants pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 8 of 199 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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