Mets vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

min read
San Francisco Giants' Michael Conforto against the Texas Rangers during the fourth inning of a baseball game Saturday, Aug. 12, 2023, in San Francisco. (AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Mets / Giants TV Channel: WPIX | NSBA | MLBN

The New York Mets (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Tuesday, April 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Mets are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 10-14 ATS.

Mets vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 2-1, 2.14 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 2-1, 2.94 ERA

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -190O 7.5 -120+110
Giants -1.5 +155U 7.5 +100-130

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs Giants and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 108 games (+16.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+5.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.81 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 12-10 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 16.24% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 8.83% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 5.26% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -13.79% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 10-14 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -17.13% ROI).

  • 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -17.54% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.3 Units / 8.85% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -16.95% ROI

Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200

Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jeff McNeil (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Luis Severino has an ERA of 7.55 (53.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: 4.40 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 81% (13/16) against Luis Severino — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .679 (55 Total Bases / 81 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .442 — first Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (97/186) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 74% (28/38) against Logan Webb — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (35/79) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (16/70) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of just 10% (7 SO in 71 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Mets are just 3-79 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Mets are 163-2 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Mets are just 8-42 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Mets are 151-14 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Giants are just 36-62 (.367) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Giants are just 20-25 (.444) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Giants are 27-14 (.659) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The Giants are 76-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Mets hitters have just 34 strikeouts in 222 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Mets hitters have put 46% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mets hitters have just 4 strikeouts in 40 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .308 (2,066 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .688 (2,066 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.43 (111.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.

Mets pitchers have walked 34 of 229 batters (15%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have walked 101 of 856 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Giants pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 908 of 12,984 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

Bet now on Mets vs Giants and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.