- The Padres are -155 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Mets / Padres TV Channel: WPIX | PDTV
The New York Mets (+130) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Mets are 67-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 67-63 ATS.
Mets vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 7-1, 3.02 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 11-6, 3.21 ERA
Mets vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -115 | +130 |
| Padres | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -105 | -155 |
Mets vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+39.00 Units / 217% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+21.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+13.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+21.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+13.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+12.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 70 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (+7.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+15.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 98 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 61-68 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -6.92% ROI).
- 67-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -1.77% ROI
- 64-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.81% ROI
- 59-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -7.52% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 67-63 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 4.28% ROI).
- 73-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 1.83% ROI
- 70-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 4.72% ROI
- 58-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.75 Units / -13.69% ROI
Padres vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Higashioka (SD) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Higashioka (SD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Padres vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael King (SD) | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (60/105) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.
David Peterson has walked 107 of 964 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has walked 5 of 36 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.4 MPH (350 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 100th Percentile.
Michael King has a strikeout rate of 34% (76 SO in 225 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH since last season (613 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 89.1
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.7 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (312 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 87.3
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Mets are just 14-64 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mets are just 52-6 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Mets are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Mets are 124-29 (.810) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Padres are 54-7 (.885) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Padres are 23-16 (.590) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Padres are 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Padres are 42-29 (.592) after a win this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .179 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Mets hitters are slugging .443 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,295 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (12,099 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .282 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 621 strikeouts in 3,519 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 862 strikeouts in 4,897 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .266 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 59 of 499 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 492 of 4,924 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 244 of 2,565 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (7,084 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Padres vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
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