- The Mets are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Mets vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Mets / Rockies TV Channel: SNY | ROTV
The New York Mets (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+140) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Mets are 59-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 58-56 ATS.
Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Paul Blackburn 5-2, 4.13 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner 1-10, 4.93 ERA
Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -115 | O 11 -110 | -165 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 11 -110 | +140 |
Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+37.50 Units / 341% ROI)
- Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 32 games (+35.80 Units / 112% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.95 Units / 79% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games at home (+9.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 54 games (+12.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 104 games (+12.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 72 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games at home (+9.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 55-58 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -2.6% ROI).
- 59-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI
- 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 1.42% ROI
- 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -9.85% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 58-56 against the Run Line (-10.3 Units / -7.26% ROI).
- 42-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -6.73% ROI
- 57-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -2.74% ROI
- 55-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -6.26% ROI
Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Harrison Bader (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jesse Winker (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kris Bryant (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Blackburn (NYM) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Ryan Feltner (COL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .438 (7-for-16) against Paul Blackburn when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .240 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (59/178) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (37/110) against Paul Blackburn on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (41/175) against Paul Blackburn on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ryan Feltner this season is 420.6 feet — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 397.8
Opponents are hitting .276 (132-for-479) against Ryan Feltner this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — eighth Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OBP of .334 (527 PA’s) this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 11th Percentile.
Ryan Feltner has allowed an OPS of .919 (134 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .703 — third Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are just 43-11 (.796) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Mets are 7-38 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Mets are 119-29 (.804) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Mets are just 39-11 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 85-13 (.867) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Rockies are just 11-30 (.268) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Rockies are just 85-70 (.548) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .441 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .768 (1,205 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,983 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .739 (11,590 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,901 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting just .050 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 230 of 2,425 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mets pitchers have walked 423 of 4,314 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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