Mets vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 30

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Chicago White Sox's Andrew Benintendi adjusts his helmet while standing on third base during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Phoenix, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 30, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mets are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Mets vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Mets / White Sox TV Channel: WPIX | NSCH | ESPN+

The New York Mets (-225) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+180) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Mets are 70-64 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 56-79 ATS.

Mets vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 2-5, 5.21 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 2-8, 4.57 ERA

Mets vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-2.5 +105O 9 -110-225
White Sox +2.5 -125U 9 -110+180

Mets vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+36.00 Units / 171% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+21.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+26.90 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 75 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 86 games (+9.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 71 of their last 125 games (+8.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+7.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 65-69 against the Run Line (-8.65 Units / -5.04% ROI).

  • 70-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -1% ROI
  • 67-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.31% ROI
  • 61-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -8.21% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 56-79 against the Run Line (-29.75 Units / -18.59% ROI).

  • 31-104 when betting on the Moneyline for -58.65 Units / -42.76% ROI
  • 59-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -10.13% ROI
  • 67-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 1.82% ROI

White Sox vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +360 0.5 -450
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

White Sox vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Jeff McNeil (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Jesse Winker (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

White Sox vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

White Sox vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tylor Megill (NYM) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
Jonathan Cannon (CWS) 4.5 +130 4.5 -165

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (111/470) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .410 (183 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .322 — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .440 (159 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 0 Percentile.

Tylor Megill has walked 39 of 295 batters (13%) versus the top of the order since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jonathan Cannon has walked 7 of 36 batters (19%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Jonathan Cannon has struck out just 15% (29/198) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (85/295) against Jonathan Cannon this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Jonathan Cannon has allowed a slugging percentage of .519 (96 Total Bases / 185 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .409 — second Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Mets are just 51-13 (.797) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Mets are just 14-64 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.

The Mets are just 47-14 (.770) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.

The Mets are 6-53 (.102) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The White Sox are just 1-13 (.071) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The White Sox are just 21-82 (.204) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.

The White Sox are just 27-36 (.429) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The White Sox are just 12-40 (.231) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

Mets hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .765 (1,369 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Mets are batting .256 on the road since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Mets hitters are slugging .623 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .562.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 23% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (8,359 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .278 (4,876 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Mets pitchers have walked 506 of 5,097 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 9% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

White Sox vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • New York Mets – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.