Mets vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 31

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Chicago White Sox's watches the flight of the ball during a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 31, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Mets are -210 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Mets vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Mets / White Sox TV Channel: WPIX | NSCH

The New York Mets (-200) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+165) on Saturday, August 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Mets are 71-64 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 56-80 ATS.

Mets vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 6-9, 4.34 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 0-2, 3.00 ERA

Mets vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 -125O 9 -115-200
White Sox +1.5 +105U 9 -105+165

Mets vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Mets vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+36.00 Units / 171% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+21.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.10 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games (+26.90 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+11.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 76 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 87 games (+10.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 79 games (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.65 Units / 17% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 66-69 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -4.42% ROI).

  • 71-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.39% ROI
  • 67-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -1.11% ROI
  • 62-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -7.46% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 56-80 against the Run Line (-30.75 Units / -19.1% ROI).

  • 31-105 when betting on the Moneyline for -59.65 Units / -43.18% ROI
  • 59-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -10.86% ROI
  • 68-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.49% ROI

White Sox vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

White Sox vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

White Sox vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

White Sox vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Martin (CWS) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110
Jose Quintana (NYM) 4.5 -105 4.5 -120

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (369/654) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,095/1,864) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,388/2,345) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 52% of Jose Quintana’s pitches (343/654) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Davis Martin has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 14.2 innings pitched — the longest active streak is 15.1.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (25/40) against Davis Martin this month (5 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/72) against Davis Martin this month (5 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% (38/72) against Davis Martin this month (5 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 93rd Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Mets are just 52-13 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

The Mets are just 48-14 (.774) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Mets are 127-29 (.814) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .735.

The Mets are 86-35 (.711) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .638.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The White Sox are just 75-69 (.521) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The White Sox are just 12-16 (.429) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The White Sox are just 30-89 (.252) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The White Sox are just 53-145 (.268) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Mets hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .765 (1,369 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (8,907 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Mets are batting .179 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .170.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (8,393 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (10,890 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .647 (8,393 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Mets pitchers have walked 246 of 2,618 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets pitchers have walked 106 of 1,206 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 1% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The White Sox have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

White Sox vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Chicago White Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • New York Mets – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.