- The Blue Jays are -170 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-170) on Tuesday, April 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Nationals are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 3-2 ATS.
Nationals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 0-1, 10.81 ERA
Nationals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -118 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -102 | -170 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+14.20 Units / 473% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+4.75 Units / 117% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 108% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 89% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+24.50 Units / 490% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games at home (+10.30 Units / 77% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 154 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games at home (+16.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 1-3 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -56.88% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -45% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.44% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.33% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 3-2 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 48% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 8.89% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 16.51% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -22.52% ROI
Blue Jays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -175 |
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 38% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (633/1,654) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his changeup for a strike just 48% (299/626) of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 34% (168/498) against Trevor Williams on sliders in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .431 (162 Total Bases / 376 ABs) when ahead in the count since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .301 — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .864 (19 Total Bases / 22 ABs) this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .371 — fifth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of 1.322 (24 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .668 — fifth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (710/1,246) when behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed an OPS of 1.322 (24 PA’s) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — third Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 56-86 (.394) after a win since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Nationals are just 73-92 (.442) at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Nationals are just 143-185 (.436) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 68-42 (.618) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Red Sox (ninth best runs scored) today.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have 18 strikeouts in 44 PA’s (41%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals hitters have pulled 61% of balls they’ve put into play this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 8 walks in 28 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .352 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
More MLB Reading:
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