- The Nationals are -110 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Nationals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (-110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-110) on Wednesday, April 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Nationals are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 4-2 ATS.
Nationals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Easton Lucas 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Nationals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -120 | -110 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 +100 | -110 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.20 Units / 330% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 78% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.00 Units / 167% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+23.50 Units / 392% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.90 Units / 90% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.30 Units / 65% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 154 games (+7.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+6.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games at home (+16.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+1.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 1-4 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -66.19% ROI).
- 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -56% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -23.21% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.67% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 4-2 against the Run Line (+3.7 Units / 61.67% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 19.16% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -3.05% ROI
- 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -3.76% ROI
Blue Jays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul DeJong (WAS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Amed Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Easton Lucas (TOR) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 72% (13 SO in 18 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (141/473) versus MacKenzie Gore in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 29% (102/353) against MacKenzie Gore since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Easton Lucas has limited playing time.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 46-82 (.359) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 136-161 (.458) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Nationals are just 143-186 (.435) since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Blue Jays are just 20-80 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Blue Jays are just 14-128 (.098) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have 41 strikeouts in 135 PA’s (30%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 9 walks in 37 PA’s (24%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .486 (37 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Blue Jays hitters have a swing rate of just 22% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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