- The Cubs are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Nationals / Cubs TV Channel: MAS2 | MARQ
The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-200) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Nationals are against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are ATS.
Nationals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 10-12, 4.08 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 14-3, 3.06 ERA
Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -130 | O 7.5 +100 | +165 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -120 | -200 |
Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jake Irvin has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 30 games (+20.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+17.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+13.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+13.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+12.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+53.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 146 games (+8.45 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 away games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+16.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.32 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.01 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Cubs vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Cubs vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dylan Crews (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cubs vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Cubs vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (439/917) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (297/1,088) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 21% (123/574) against Jake Irvin this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 14th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (628/1,980) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has walked 28 of 668 batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (38/96) against Shota Imanaga over the last 14 days — 2nd best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .203 (48-for-237) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 86th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (58/151) against Shota Imanaga this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Nationals are just 59-234 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Nationals are just 73-120 (.378) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Nationals are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are just 62-12 (.838) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Cubs are 23-13 (.639) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Cubs are 15-28 (.349) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Cubs are just 55-49 (.529) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Nationals are batting just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .296 (1,602 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .946 (2,181 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .283 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cubs are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .331 (3,097 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Cubs are batting just .228 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 75 double plays in 1,083 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (696.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cubs pitchers have walked 122 of 1,375 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this month (19 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
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