- The Diamondbacks are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: MAS2 | DBTV | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on Wednesday, July 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Nationals are 49-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 55-53 ATS.
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 6-8, 4.49 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 8-5, 3.71 ERA
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -110 | +150 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -110 | -185 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+15.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 19 games (+34.40 Units / 181% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+16.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+12.55 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.50 Units / 76% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 away games (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (+8.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 55 away games (+3.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 52 games (+17.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 61-47 against the Run Line (+7.13 Units / 5.03% ROI).
- 49-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 4.99% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -3.27% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.12 Units / -5.94% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 55-53 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -2.85% ROI).
- 57-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.48% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.85 Units / 4.88% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.5 Units / -13.98% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (247/870) against MacKenzie Gore since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (53/149) against MacKenzie Gore on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (84/257) against MacKenzie Gore on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (95/301) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has walked 8 of 29 right-handed batters (28%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 9 of 51 batters (18%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 12 of 64 right-handed batters (19%) this month (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .579 (730 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .667 — 90th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are 9-2 (.818) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 31-50 (.383) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 53-211 (.201) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Nationals are just 66-108 (.379) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are just 180-18 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 46-5 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Diamondbacks are 46-10 (.821) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .958 (1,858 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.089.
Nationals hitters have just 970 strikeouts in 4,981 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Nationals hitters have just 2,226 strikeouts in 11,101 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .728 (505 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (24 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .315 (505 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (24 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .345 (3,802 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Alu (Washington Nationals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Joey Gallo (Washington Nationals): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Josiah Gray (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Williams (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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