- The Nationals are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
- Nationals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Nationals / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (-140) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+118) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Nationals are 6-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 7-7 ATS.
Nationals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 1-1, 2.70 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 1-1, 6.00 ERA
Nationals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | -1.5 +130 | O 8 -120 | -140 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -155 | U 8 +100 | +118 |
Nationals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+17.60 Units / 352% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.20 Units / 69% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.60 Units / 69% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+7.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 70% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.50 Units / 96% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 90 of their last 163 games (+5.15 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 77 away games (+4.34 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 67 of their last 163 games (+1.45 Units / 1% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 82 games at home (+27.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games at home (+11.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 82 games at home (+2.20 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 162 games (+0.85 Units / 1% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 8-6 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 3.98% ROI).
- 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -1.06% ROI
- 9-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 22.76% ROI
- 5-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -30.59% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -4.13% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 15.59% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.1 Units / 6.88% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -16.89% ROI
Marlins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Marlins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Amed Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Marlins vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Cal Quantrill (MIA) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 48% (13 SO in 27 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 71% (12 SO in 17 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (141/473) versus MacKenzie Gore in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (70/354) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .326 (571 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .233 (116-for-498) against Cal Quantrill with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OPS of .701 (571 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .510 — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 34-52 (.395) on the road since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Nationals are just 31-46 (.403) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Nationals are just 43-151 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins were just 20-41 (.328) after a win in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Marlins are just 49-12 (.803) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .948 (2,312 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have 52 strikeouts in 162 PA’s (32%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals hitters slugged just .356 against LHP in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins are just 18-52 (.257) against the run line (-49.2% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .456.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Marlins are just 5-19 (.208) against the run line (-60.4% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Marlins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Nationals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
