- The Marlins are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Marlins TV Channel: MAS2 | BSFL
The Washington Nationals (+110) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-130) on Friday, April 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Nationals are 10-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 9-17 ATS.
Nationals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 2-0, 3.00 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 0-2, 6.67 ERA
Nationals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +110 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -130 |
Nationals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+23.90 Units / 126% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+9.35 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+13.40 Units / 122% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games at home (+9.25 Units / 185% ROI)
- Nick Fortes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.25 Units / 56% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.08 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 70 away games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 14-10 against the Run Line (+2.48 Units / 8.22% ROI).
- 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 11.45% ROI
- 9-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -24.16% ROI
- 14-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.03 Units / 15.2% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 9-17 against the Run Line (-12.71 Units / -36.57% ROI).
- 6-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -49.56% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -4% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -3.51% ROI
Marlins vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nick Gordon (MIA) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Marlins vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nick Gordon (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Emmanuel Rivera (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nick Fortes (MIA) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Marlins vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Gordon (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (549/1,070) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .474 (143 Total Bases / 302 ABs) when ahead in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 52% (396/768) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (707/1,383) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .895 (34 Total Bases / 38 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of 1.372 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .665 — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of 1.172 (28 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .693 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .395 (15-for-38) against Jesus Luzardo when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — third Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Nationals are just 42-68 (.382) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 130-183 (.415) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 22-40 (.355) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Marlins are 36-15 (.706) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Marlins are just 135-69 (.662) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Marlins are 42-19 (.689) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Marlins are 98-17 (.852) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .089 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .160.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,765 strikeouts in 8,869 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 2,570 strikeouts in 12,973 PA’s (20%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .365 (481 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .169 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .273 (945 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .244 (406 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (118.7 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 114.2).
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 442.4
Marlins pitchers have walked 112 of 1,027 batters (11%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Nationals vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
