- The Nationals are -130 favorites vs the Rockies
- Nationals vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Nationals / Rockies TV Channel: MAS2 | ROTV | ESPN+
The Washington Nationals (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Nationals are 37-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 37-40 ATS.
Nationals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 5-6, 3.26 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 0-3, 13.23 ERA
Nationals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | -1.5 +110 | O 10.5 +100 | -130 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -135 | U 10.5 -120 | +110 |
Nationals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 68 games (+17.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 68 games (+15.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 away games (+9.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 70 games (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 41 games (+8.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 47 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 46-30 against the Run Line (+13.73 Units / 14.09% ROI).
- 37-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 14.92% ROI
- 33-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -11.49% ROI
- 39-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.53 Units / 3.01% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 37-40 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -11.39% ROI).
- 27-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -7.91% ROI
- 40-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.86% ROI
- 35-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -10.75% ROI
Rockies vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Jones (COL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Rockies vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Stallings (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Jones (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Hunter Goodman (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Rockies vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Nick Senzel (WAS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland (COL) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +120 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (327/948) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (22/133) against Jake Irvin with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (103/293) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (103/293) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .408 (75-for-184) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .485 (16-for-33) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .324 (180-for-555) against Kyle Freeland since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .248 — first Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has an ERA of 6.62 (84.1 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 4.28 — second Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Nationals are 7-1 (.875) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Nationals are just 51-198 (.205) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Nationals are just 28-47 (.373) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are 12-7 (.632) after a road loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Rockies are just 61-28 (.685) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 45-33 (.577) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 22-22 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 61-39 (.610) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 39% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .924 (1,640 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals hitters have just 2,044 strikeouts in 10,275 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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