Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 4

Toronto Blue Jays' Vladimir Guerrero Jr. plays against the Boston Red Sox during the fourth inning of a baseball game, Thursday, May 4, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MAS2 | RSN1

The Baltimore Orioles (-175) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+145) on Tuesday, June 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Orioles are 38-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-32 ATS.

Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 5-2, 2.36 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 -110O 8.5 -115-175
Blue Jays +1.5 -110U 8.5 -105+145

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+7.85 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 20 games (+17.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 49 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 32-26 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 16.88% ROI).

  • 38-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 10.69% ROI
  • 29-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 9.91% ROI
  • 21-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -17.49% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 27-32 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -13.33% ROI).

  • 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -10.91% ROI
  • 26-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.35 Units / -14.43% ROI
  • 32-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 4.77% ROI

Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Burnes (BAL) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 73% of the time (49/67) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 72% of the time (48/67) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (372/565) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 15 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .186 (96-for-515) against Alek Manoah since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has walked 67 of 518 batters (13%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .291 (150 Total Bases / 515 ABs) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: .405 — 99th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .367 (518 PA’s) since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: .312 — second Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Orioles are 26-15 (.634) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .307.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 25-17 (.595) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Blue Jays are 19-11 (.633) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Blue Jays are 184-47 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Blue Jays are just 11-76 (.126) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Orioles hitters are slugging .481 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .817 (611 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of .316 (275 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Orioles hitters are slugging .443 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.

Blue Jays hitters have just 359 strikeouts in 1,900 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 605 strikeouts in 3,139 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .349 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.