- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Blue Jays TV Channel: MAS2 | RSN1
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-125) on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Orioles are 39-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-33 ATS.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 2-0, 1.57 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 5-4, 2.81 ERA
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +105 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -125 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 107% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 78% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.85 Units / 98% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.05 Units / 151% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+16.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 21 games (+16.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+12.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+12.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 45% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 33-26 against the Run Line (+12.4 Units / 18.33% ROI).
- 39-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 11.67% ROI
- 30-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 11.32% ROI
- 21-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -18.97% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 27-33 against the Run Line (-11.8 Units / -14.8% ROI).
- 28-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 27-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.35 Units / -12.68% ROI
- 32-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 2.95% ROI
Blue Jays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (20/63) against Albert Suarez on inside fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Albert Suarez has thrown fastballs up 70% of the time (221/316) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Albert Suarez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.2 innings he’s appeared — Tanner Houck has the longest active streak at 60.1.
Albert Suarez has an ERA of 1.57 (34.1 IP)this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 3.83 — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios allowed a batting average of .435 vs right-handed batters (worst)– first Percentile and just .103 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (fifth best among qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.
Jose Berrios allowed a batting average of .291 vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .158 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (226/562) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against Jose Berrios over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .220 — second Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 46-24 (.657) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 50-3 (.943) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are just 11-77 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Blue Jays are 25-18 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 40-26 (.606) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 60-57 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .446 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Orioles are 48-22 (.686) against the run line (31.9% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Orioles hitters are slugging .455 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
The Orioles are batting .263 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 359 strikeouts in 1,904 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 91 strikeouts in 499 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have chased just 17% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 605 strikeouts in 3,143 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 232 of 3,430 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 47% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 236 of 3,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers since last season is 393.1 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 28 of 495 batters (6%) over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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