- The Orioles are +100 favorites vs the Mets
- Orioles vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Mets TV Channel: MASN | SNY
The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Orioles are 73-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 60-65 ATS.
Orioles vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 5-9, 4.44 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 6-8, 4.24 ERA
Orioles vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Mets | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Orioles vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+28.50 Units / 356% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+18.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+13.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 33 games (+32.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+16.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+9.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 117 games (+19.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+13.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 65 of their last 111 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 41 away games (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games at home (+15.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+11.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 66 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 68-58 against the Run Line (+19.3 Units / 13.2% ROI).
- 73-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.31% ROI
- 68-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.9 Units / 12.35% ROI
- 47-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.15 Units / -20.36% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 60-65 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -5.35% ROI).
- 65-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -1.83% ROI
- 62-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.66% ROI
- 57-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -7.62% ROI
Mets vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Mets vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has struck out just 7% (2/31) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Dean Kremer has walked 4 of 23 right-handed batters (17%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 8% (4/50) against Dean Kremer this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (48/268) against Dean Kremer this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 58% (1,009/1,731) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (338/608) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,274/2,160) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (363/742) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Orioles are 57-46 (.553) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 19-10 (.655) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 32-25 (.561) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Orioles are 33-42 (.440) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mets are just 51-6 (.895) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Mets are just 47-11 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Mets are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are just 44-12 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .350 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .326 (11,981 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters have 120 extra-base hits out of 296 total hits (41%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Mets scored first in just 43% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Orioles pitchers won 41% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 242 of 2,530 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 477 of 4,770 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Mets pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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