- The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / Mets TV Channel: MASN | SNY | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (+115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Orioles are 74-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 60-66 ATS.
Orioles vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 6-5, 4.80 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 9-5, 3.49 ERA
Orioles vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -110 | +115 |
| Mets | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -110 | -135 |
Orioles vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+27.50 Units / 306% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+19.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+14.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+12.10 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 34 games (+31.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+17.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+12.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 118 games (+20.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 80 games (+14.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 112 games (+12.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 away games (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 42 away games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+14.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 67 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 69-58 against the Run Line (+20.3 Units / 13.71% ROI).
- 74-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.94% ROI
- 69-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.9 Units / 12.97% ROI
- 47-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.15 Units / -20.93% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 60-66 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -5.95% ROI).
- 65-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.07% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.2 Units / -8.3% ROI
Mets vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Mets vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Irvin (BAL) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (14/146) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .228 (41-for-180) against Cole Irvin with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .168 — third Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (163 Total Bases / 295 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .400 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .257 (48-for-187) against Cole Irvin when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .193 — second Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 25 of 216 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 24 of 216 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has walked 42 of 436 right-handed batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 47% of the time (235/495) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Orioles are 16-9 (.640) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are 58-46 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 55-35 (.611) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 172-89 (.659) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Mets are just 14-63 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Mets are just 51-6 (.895) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Mets are just 44-12 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Mets are 123-29 (.809) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 36% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,537 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .325 (8,606 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .347 (2,028 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Mets are batting .275 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (17,039 PA’s) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 59 double plays in 788 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 58 of 497 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 481 of 4,811 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 70 of 668 batters (10%) this month (18 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Heasley (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Danny Coulombe (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Wells (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jorge Mateo (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, Day-To-Day
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