- The Orioles are + favorites vs the Rangers
- Orioles vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Rangers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSW
The Baltimore Orioles (+) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+) on Friday, July 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 58-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 45-51 ATS.
Orioles vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 9-4, 2.43 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 6-3, 2.99 ERA
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -115 | + |
| Rangers | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -105 | + |
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 87 games (+13.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 81 games (+11.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+5.95 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+18.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 51-45 against the Run Line (+13.3 Units / 11.98% ROI).
- 58-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 4.24% ROI
- 48-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 7.44% ROI
- 37-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.95 Units / -15.21% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 45-51 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -8.99% ROI).
- 46-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -9.75% ROI
- 37-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.2 Units / -20.98% ROI
- 54-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.65 Units / 12.94% ROI
Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (87/146) against Corbin Burnes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 65% of the time (415/638) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (264/402) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 71% of the time (100/140) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .037 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .275 (115-for-418) against Nathan Eovaldi in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has pitched 7 or more innings in each of his last four games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Nathan Eovaldi has not walked a batter in his last 25.1 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 57-44 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 32-23 (.582) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Orioles are 20-15 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 3-185 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 9-168 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 13-20 (.394) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 7-80 (.080) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .800 (1,145 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Orioles hitters have 128 extra-base hits out of 312 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have 17 strikeouts in 48 PA’s (35%) against LHP this month (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have put just 25% of their swings in play against LHP this month (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rangers hitters have 4 strikeouts in 9 PA’s (44%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles pitchers have walked 253 of 3,759 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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