- The Orioles are + favorites vs the Rangers
- Orioles vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Orioles / Rangers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSW
The Baltimore Orioles () visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers () on Saturday, July 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 59-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 45-52 ATS.
Orioles vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 11-4, 3.90 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-2, 3.04 ERA
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | O | ||
| Rangers | U |
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 88 games (+15.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 away games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+17.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 52-45 against the Run Line (+14.85 Units / 13.26% ROI).
- 59-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 4.93% ROI
- 49-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.75 Units / 8.32% ROI
- 37-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.15 Units / -16.16% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 45-52 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -10.25% ROI).
- 46-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.8 Units / -10.57% ROI
- 38-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.2 Units / -19.85% ROI
- 54-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 11.67% ROI
Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (100/292) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .485 (94 Total Bases / 194 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .372 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (45/143) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (18/51) against Grayson Rodriguez with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .179 (81-for-452) against Max Scherzer when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .440 (11-for-25) against Max Scherzer when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .255 — fourth Percentile.
Max Scherzer has walked 12 of 358 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (24/82) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 57-44 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 27-17 (.614) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 81-45 (.643) on the road since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 3-186 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Rangers are just 9-169 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 5-94 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .800 (1,158 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Orioles hitters are slugging .462 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Orioles hitters are slugging .454 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Orioles hitters have 130 extra-base hits out of 315 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have 20 strikeouts in 55 PA’s (36%) against LHP this month (8 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have put just 26% of their swings in play against LHP this month (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .506 (240 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Rangers hitters have 12 strikeouts in 32 PA’s (38%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 254 of 3,768 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 333 of 3,601 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 53 of 853 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rangers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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