- The Orioles are +105 favorites vs the Rays
- Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MAS2 | FSUN
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Orioles are 30-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 37-35 ATS.
Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 5-7, 5.04 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 6-6, 3.85 ERA
Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -210 | O 9.5 -118 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +160 | U 9.5 -102 | -125 |
Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.50 Units / 270% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+13.60 Units / 170% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+12.55 Units / 83% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+14.03 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 66 games (+12.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.54 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+2.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+11.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+7.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+6.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 25-45 against the Run Line (-22.91 Units / -25.83% ROI).
- 30-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.8 Units / -21.5% ROI
- 31-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.38 Units / -12.08% ROI
- 37-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.68 Units / 3.41% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 37-35 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 2.82% ROI).
- 40-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.63 Units / 6.29% ROI
- 28-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.55 Units / -21.9% ROI
- 41-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.75 Units / 13.72% ROI
Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .318 (55-for-173) against Dean Kremer this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (48/264) against Dean Kremer this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 74% (239/323) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 3% of batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 2% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 5-17 (.227) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rays (Ranks sixth runs allowed) today.
The Orioles are 222-173 (.562) since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 0-38 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Orioles are 116-3 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 4-26 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Rays are 16-153 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 71-10 (.877) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rays are 183-6 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .301 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .589 (712 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Orioles hitters grounded into 71 double plays in 1,127 opportunities (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .279 (622 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters were successful in 90% of their bunt for hit attempts in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes this month (14 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles pitchers won 41% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 70 double plays in 462 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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