Orioles vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz reacts after his solo home run off Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Hyun Jin Ryu during the first inning of a baseball game Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 08, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Rays
  • Orioles vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Orioles / Rays TV Channel: MAS2 | BSUN | MLBN

The Baltimore Orioles (-145) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+120) on Saturday, June 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Orioles are 40-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 27-36 ATS.

Orioles vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 1-0, 3.14 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 1-3, 5.82 ERA

Orioles vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles-1.5 +115O 8 -115-145
Rays +1.5 -140U 8 -105+120

Orioles vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+15.25 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.20 Units / 117% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+14.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+12.70 Units / 159% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.30 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 53 games (+16.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 60 games (+21.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+4.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 36-26 against the Run Line (+15.9 Units / 21.92% ROI).

  • 40-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.95 Units / 10.02% ROI
  • 32-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.1 Units / 12.11% ROI
  • 22-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -19.82% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 27-36 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -12.67% ROI).

  • 31-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -12.54% ROI
  • 33-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.07% ROI
  • 30-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -9.28% ROI

Rays vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Rays vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Rays vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Rays vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taj Bradley (TB) 5.5 -140 5.5 +105
Kyle Bradish (BAL) 6.5 +120 6.5 -155

Kyle Bradish has not allowed a HR in any of his last 10 starts dating back to September 20th, 2023 — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.

Kyle Bradish has not allowed a home run in any of the last 49.1 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 52.1.

Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of just .520 (320 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .708 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 41% of Kyle Bradish’s pitches (209/512) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .911 (82 Total Bases / 90 ABs) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .613 — first Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (18/92) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .601 (143 Total Bases / 238 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .446 — third Percentile.

Taj Bradley has allowed an OPS of .872 (234 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .723 — sixth Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .111.

The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Orioles are 41-18 (.695) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .586.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are just 16-35 (.314) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 27-46 (.370) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rays are 20-75 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .145.

Orioles hitters are slugging .492 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

Orioles hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.

Orioles hitters are slugging .321 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rays hitters are slugging just .346 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .387.

Rays hitters have 144 strikeouts in 586 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays are batting .267 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.

The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 999 of 14,343 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.