- The Orioles are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- Orioles vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Orioles / White Sox TV Channel: MASN | NSCH | MLBN
The Baltimore Orioles (-250) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+200) on Thursday, May 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Orioles are 29-18 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 23-27 ATS.
Orioles vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez 4-1, 3.18 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger 0-2, 5.41 ERA
Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -2.5 +110 | O 8.5 -115 | -250 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -135 | U 8.5 -105 | +200 |
Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 77.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+17.35 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+9.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.55 Units / 83% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+15.10 Units / 108% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 101% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 38 games (+2.85 Units / 6% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 23-24 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 4.93% ROI).
- 29-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 4.69% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 6.64% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -14.86% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 23-27 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -13.1% ROI).
- 15-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.95 Units / -27.93% ROI
- 22-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 26-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 3.82% ROI
White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tommy Pham (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
White Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
White Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Clevinger (CWS) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Grayson Rodriguez (BAL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez has a strikeout rate of 41% (17 SO in 42 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (38/87) against Grayson Rodriguez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .447 (34-for-76) against Grayson Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .348 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 36% (36/100) against Grayson Rodriguez this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (45/156) against Mike Clevinger in two-strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 14% (9/64) against Mike Clevinger on changeups since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .248 (28-for-113) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 98th Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has averaged 79.6 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 85.0 — fourth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 42-24 (.636) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Orioles are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The White Sox are just 9-26 (.257) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The White Sox are just 56-19 (.747) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 64-9 (.877) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The White Sox are just 26-50 (.342) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .497 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,244 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .336 (543 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Orioles hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 136 total hits (42%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting just .179 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,796 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,783 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (5,965 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 3.77 (1879.1 IP) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 842 of 8,185 batters (10%) since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 14% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,375 of 14,330 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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