Orioles vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26

min read
Chicago White Sox's Yoan Moncada watches his home run off San Diego Padres relief pitcher Robert Suarez during the eighth inning of a baseball game Friday, Sept. 29, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 26, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Orioles vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Orioles / White Sox TV Channel: MASN | NSCH

The Baltimore Orioles () visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Orioles are 32-18 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 23-30 ATS.

Orioles vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 0-0, 2.41 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Crochet 5-4, 3.75 ERA

Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Orioles O
White Sox U

Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 63.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+17.80 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+8.95 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 14 games at home (+8.60 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 games (+5.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+2.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+2.70 Units / 16% ROI)

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 26-24 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 9.72% ROI).

  • 32-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 8.43% ROI
  • 25-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.35 Units / 9.95% ROI
  • 18-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -18.02% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 23-30 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -17.42% ROI).

  • 15-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.95 Units / -32.01% ROI
  • 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -8.24% ROI
  • 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.26% ROI

Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .240 (64 Total Bases / 267 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has not allowed a home run in any of the last 39.2 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 50.0.

Kyle Bradish has not allowed a HR in any of his last eight starts dating back to September 20th, 2023 — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.

Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of just .509 (302 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .711 — 99th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 44% (16 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has a strikeout rate of 39% (39 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Garrett Crochet with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has allowed an OBP of just .111 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .274 — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 44-24 (.647) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

The Orioles are 45-55 (.450) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .303.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The White Sox are just 9-26 (.257) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The White Sox are just 26-50 (.342) after a win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

The White Sox are just 60-43 (.583) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The White Sox are just 41-93 (.306) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of .833 (569 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .288 (1,320 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Orioles hitters are slugging .311 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Orioles hitters have drawn 94 walks in 1,320 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The White Sox are batting just .178 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 19% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .610 (1,896 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,898 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 228 of 3,349 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 856 of 8,307 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 202 of 2,006 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.